Three reasons why Arsenal can turn around their Carabao Cup semi-final against Newcastle.

Reasons for Arsenal to be optimistic as they try to overcome a 2-0 first-leg deficit.

Arsenal has a daunting task when they face Newcastle in the second leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final on Wednesday at St. James' Park.

The Gunners are down 2-0 after the first leg, and history is not on their favor.

Only once in 32 League Cup semi-finals has a team advanced despite losing the opening leg by two or more goals.

That occurred during the 1993-94 season, when Aston Villa overcame a 3-1 first-leg deficit against Tranmere.

However, Arteta is certain that Arsenal will be able to turn the tie around.

Here, Standard Sport examines why he is correct to be optimistic.

Newcastle’s invulnerability has gone.

St. James' Park is typically a fortress for Newcastle, but not in recent weeks.

Eddie Howe's side has lost its previous two home games, allowing six goals.

An injury hit On January 18, Bournemouth won 4-1, and last weekend, Fulham came from behind to win 2-1 with two goals in the closing half-hour.

Such results should give Arsenal confidence that they can go there and stage a great comeback.

The Gunners have had a poor recent record at Newcastle, losing each of their last two visits 1-0 and having only one shot on target each time.

However, Newcastle appear to be lot more susceptible than they were then, and Arsenal will be hoping for an early goal on Wednesday to put them under pressure.

Mood at both clubs has evolved since the first leg.

The new Champions League structure required clubs to play two extra games in January.

The result is that there has been a significant gap between the first and second legs of this semi-final.

Last season, the first and second legs were separated by a fortnight; this time, the gap is four weeks.

Arsenal have played seven games in that period and, although being knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester United, are unbeaten in their past six.

That run has included victories over Manchester City and Tottenham, which has improved the mood at the club.

In contrast, Newcastle has played five games and lost their past two home games since the first leg.

Bournemouth and Fulham provide a model for success.

This season, Newcastle has relied heavily on their midfield.

The return of Sandro Tonali has given them a new dimension in the middle of the park, with the Italian forging a strong bond with Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton.

However, Howe confessed that his side lacked control in recent games against Bournemouth and Fulham.

Both teams were able to exploit space in the middle of the pitch, which resulted in Newcastle conceding six goals.

"We didn't have the control we would have liked," Howe stated following last weekend's defeat to Fulham. "I thought there were similarities to the Bournemouth game, unfortunately for us."

Newcastle is also concerned that Joelinton, who has a knee issue, will miss the game against Arsenal.

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